Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.303304 0.342402 0.386620 0.440747 0.505791 0.582175 6.797725e-01
2025-02-02 0.261292 0.317748 0.388715 0.486558 0.621444 0.806486 1.090372e+00
2025-02-09 0.229614 0.294166 0.381725 0.513869 0.717444 1.037149 1.621034e+00
2025-02-16 0.205606 0.273944 0.372215 0.531662 0.801382 1.279563 2.315208e+00
2025-02-23 0.183897 0.252322 0.355190 0.531875 0.854572 1.490021 3.105571e+00
2025-03-02 0.160385 0.224286 0.323192 0.499691 0.839626 1.561872 3.641445e+00
2025-03-09 0.145380 0.207133 0.305516 0.487990 0.859330 1.715604 4.560582e+00
2025-03-16 0.133519 0.193412 0.291327 0.479445 0.882513 1.888987 5.772644e+00
2025-03-23 0.126081 0.185891 0.286428 0.487176 0.942974 2.192481 8.025923e+00
2025-03-30 0.115323 0.171788 0.268265 0.465388 0.929056 2.277451 9.448782e+00
2025-04-06 0.106463 0.160106 0.253159 0.447436 0.920090 2.376633 1.125584e+01
2025-04-13 0.098680 0.149634 0.239199 0.429796 0.907732 2.461285 1.329149e+01
2025-04-20 0.096648 0.149269 0.244548 0.456280 1.025948 3.134287 2.436307e+01
2025-04-27 0.096714 0.152686 0.257725 0.504002 1.229406 4.442516 6.614399e+01
2025-05-04 0.094526 0.151776 0.262249 0.532581 1.390964 5.860545 1.991912e+02
2025-05-11 0.091545 0.149077 0.262732 0.551248 1.530591 7.484576 8.686255e+02
2025-05-18 0.087308 0.143603 0.256685 0.551466 1.602959 8.832621 6.076148e+03
2025-05-25 0.080838 0.133339 0.239307 0.517668 1.525142 8.716825 1.527142e+04
2025-06-01 0.076547 0.127057 0.230088 0.505390 1.534947 9.551478 3.304510e+08
2025-06-08 0.072865 0.121720 0.222462 0.496427 1.556772 10.637255 NaN
2025-06-15 0.070660 0.119158 0.220781 0.504536 1.662067 13.231889 NaN
2025-06-22 0.066580 0.112572 0.209377 0.481689 1.609340 13.414277 NaN
2025-06-29 0.063046 0.106909 0.199694 0.462878 1.571367 13.813483 NaN